Restaurant Trade Area Research

17. October 2010

Case Study Follow-Up: What Firehouse Subs Learned

Firehouse Sub Logo

http://www.mobilebillboardfranchise.com/Portals/85285/images/Firehouse%20Subs%201.jpg

Woodstock, Ga. has a Firehouse Subs and I’ve used it numerous times. This link explores the outcome of re-instating advertising and its very strong effect on store sales - also includes the tidbit that having a sign waver in front of the store can increase sales 10-15% by capturing the late decider as they drive into the area - http://boss.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/29/case-study-follow-up-what-firehouse-subs-learned/ - more details too.

Ruby Tuesday’s confirms, like McDonald’s, that Obama Healthcare mandates due in 2014 will strongly affect the industry and is scrambling to move into concepts that involve fewer full-time workers as staff -  http://www.nasdaq.com/aspx/stock-market-news-story.aspx?storyid=201010071611dowjonesdjonline000543&title=ruby-tuesdayhealthcare-law-a-factor-in-fast-casual-forayMcDonald’s to offer wedding receptions in Hong Kong -
http://www.slashfood.com/2010/10/12/mcmarriages-come-to-hong-kong/?icid=main%7Chtmlws-main-w%7Cdl3%7Csec3_lnk3%7C177107 article talks about how many had their first date at a McDonald’s and therefore McDonald’s has a special meaning; wouldn’t the same hold true in America? Is this a tip of the iceberg.

11. October 2010

Omaha Eaters Drive To Avoid New Tax At Restaurants

Looking for revenue anywhere they can get it in this new normal - politicians in Omaha put a 2.5% tax on restaurant diners - forcing them to drive to other communities to avoid the tax.  http://www.ketv.com/r/25247993/detail.html

New Chicken Taco at Church’s Chickent - http://www.restaurantnews.com/churchs-chicken-on-the-go-with-the-new-crispy-chicken-taco/ - nice brand extension here for `on-the-go’ targeting too (did I see a burrito now offered at Hardee’s in Woodstock Ga?).

Wingstop Reaches 29 Consecutive Quarters of Positive Comp Store Sales  - http://www.restaurantnews.com/wingstop-reaches-29-consecutive-quarters-of-positive-comp-store-sales/

Will Arby’s and Wendy’s increase prices? - http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2010/10/01/are-wendys-and-arbys-going-to-beef-up-menu-prices/ – kinda a strange article to me as any beef price increases would certainly hit everyone.

Speaking of beef - Regional Chains Feed Hunger For Burgers - http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/38420989/ns/business-local_business/

From the in-case you missed it file - McDonald’s sss up 4.9% in August - http://www.restaurantnews.com/mcdonalds-posts-strong-global-comparable-sales-august-up-4-9/

More about my services at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys

4. October 2010

Ultra Affluent Hugely Increase Fast Food Spending

Those who charge 7,000 or more a month to credit cards and who meet a specified income level - increase quick service usage by 24% - three times the rate of other demographics. From the link:

“Subconsciously, I think I’m saving money by spending less on food, but my spending somewhere else must be going up, because the amount on my credit card is not going down,” Gutsell said to the WSJ, as he ate an Extra Value Meal at a McDonald’s.  - http://eatdrinkandbe.org/article/index.fast-food-rich-people-015

Yes, this is how screwed up the new normal is.

In other news about McDonald’s and the new normal - McDonald’s May Drop Health Plan - http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703431604575522413101063070.html

20 New Items and a re-designed menu is what IHOP positions to re-invigorate customer base - http://www.restaurantnews.com/ihop-serves-up-new-menu-full-of-innovative-choices-to-satisfy-any-craving/ - (come to think of it - while it’s been years since I choose IHOP - it did have a confusing overwhelming menu).

Jack In The Box closes 40 company stores - http://www.forbes.com/2010/09/29/jack-in-the-box-to-close-40-restaurants-marketnewsvideo.html - the new normal does not bode well for turnarounds.

Creamy premium MilkShakes tested at Checkers - http://www.restaurantnews.com/checkers-brings-a-cold-wave-to-sunny-south-florida/ joining the growing trend in top of the line shakes.

Please visit my sidebar for more great links and products. Thanks.

30. September 2010

A Wendy’s Breakfast - Is Third Time A Charm?

The only big burger chain without a breakfast presence in the marketplace - will try it again in 3 test markets - for the third (is that all?) time. The effort will be including oatmeal bars, egg sandwiches, paninis and burritos (which evidently are being demanded elsewhere?) to entice the new users set already in their morning drive breakfast routine. (Where’s the toast? Bacon? Pancakes?) - Perhaps in direct mocking of the BK new breakfast ads with marching males - Wendy’s could use Sexy Secretaries or something similar? - more at the link behind the move into extending dayparts http://www.ajc.com/business/wendys-sees-opportunity-in-618248.html

Speaking of burritos - Carl’s Jr., Green Burrito Open 500th Dual-Branded Restaurant - http://www.restaurantnews.com/carls-jr-green-burrito-open-500th-dual-branded-restaurant/

And, speaking of opening - Steak ‘n Shake Opens New Prototype Restaurant in Rome, Georgia - Same seating, @1/3 less to build - better view of grill for patrons - more at link http://www.restaurantnews.com/steak-n-shake-opens-new-prototype-restaurant-in-rome-georgia/

New McDonald

http://www.fastcompany.com/files/imagecache/panoramic_image/files/MOD-105-Weil-1.jpg

And speaking of makeovers - here’s a great story about the man who is re-designing McDonald’s - http://www.fastcompany.com/magazine/149/super-style-me.html

My YouTube Channel which has free 2010 Top Of Mind Research about Restaurant Brands - http://www.youtube.com/my_videos?feature=mhum

4. September 2010

McDonald’s Plans Upgrades To Wal-Mart-Based Restaurants

Could this move make the mallpad strip even more competitive - especially for the `leaving Walmart’ drive thru traffic? - http://www.nasdaq.com/aspx/stock-market-news-story.aspx?storyid=201007160959dowjonesdjonline000442&title=mcdonalds-plans-upgrades-to-wal-mart-based-restaurants

Starbucks Will Win the Wi-Fi War - http://www.pcworld.com/article/203304/starbucks_will_win_the_wifi_war.html

Or, will they?

18. August 2010

Fast Food Trading Up To Catch Customers Trading Down

The evidence is starting to pile up about one response to the new normal is that Fast Food brands should enhance the  restaurant experience available - almost regardless of price point - because in large part it is aimed at those `trading down’ from the sit-down and tip waitress at lunch segment - and at the already existing non-tip fast casual (such as a Five Guys).

Examples include Wendy’s new redone Premium Salads priced at around 6.00 - and the large variety of `Angus’ Big Burgers available at most of the major chains now. (Can Buffalo Burgers be far away?) It would also include the upscaling of Milkshakes at Chick-Fil-A and Hardee’s - to the recent bone-in BBQ of Burger King - to the upscaling, at least perception wise, to many McDonald offerings such as the yogurt choices and coffee.

These new positionings, which often include a dash of health perceptions mixed with a sprinkle of indulgence, can be fairly and profitably priced within the fast food price points compared to fast casual and especially when compared to ANY RESTAURANT THAT DEPENDS ON TIPS FOR ITS EMPLOYEES. As today’s customer, in the new normal, is no longer disregarding any `additional charges’ as frivolous.

Indeed, when today’s restaurant using customer sees a Chili’s ad about the Burgers choices (with fries) starting at 5.99 - they know that - even getting water (the continuing trade-down) - that with tax their bill will be pushing 6.50 - which with tip (can you really tip under a dollar in a sit-down environment with table cloths) would be another buck (or two to not look cheap) - making the 5.99 advertised price point, more like 7.50+ and they are still drinking water. (The 1.79 and up prices on drinks at these places do them no help perceptually either). Indeed, throw in the drink, tax, (and now a two dollar tip) and you are talking 10.00 nearly - for the cheapest 5.99 advertised price point.

And, perceptions like that - add up to Fast Food brands having some opportunity for brand extensions with good profit price points. Doing this, while retaining the `value’ and yes - even the `dollarish’ price points too. (Dollarish (things under 1.49) would be a fun positioning.)

Lastly, since the new normal could be here for years and years, expect this trend in Fast Food brands to be a continuing process as brands find profitable brand extensions once thought of as not possible or too out of character for FF. Does this mean `value sized portions’ of something as exotic as `Prime Rib’ - before you say impossible - remember, this is the new normal. Crabcakes anyone?

Here’s some thoughts of a 50 year old multi time a day FF eater - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2H_pEFuSSo - and more about my services is right here www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys too.

17. August 2010

And The Survey Of 6,518 Zagat Restaurant Users Says…

Winners of the various categories are: 

Healthy Food - Subway - Mega Chain; Jason’s Deli - Large Chain

Coffee - Starbucks, Dunkin Donuts, McDonalds

Best Burger - Five Guys, In-N-Out Burger, Wendy’s

Best Fries - McDonald’s, In-N-Out Burger, Five Guys

Best Milkshake - Dairy Queen

Best Value - McDonald’s, Panera Bread

Best Drive-Thru - McDonalds

Most Popular - Subway

More details at this link - http://www.restaurantnews.com/zagat-fast-food-survey-rates-136-major-dining-chains-from-breakfast-to-burgers-dessert-to-drive-thrus/

6. August 2010

Ruby Tuesday’s Recipe for Survival Is New Menu, Look

When the term `survival’ is used concerning any restaurant chain - it is not good news - especially when trying to change the positioning to more upscale in the new normal. But, that is exactly what RT is trying to do to create some positioning difference from competitors such as  Applebees, T.G.I. Friday’s and Chili’s. Read more of the strategy here - http://www.theledger.com/article/20100722/NEWS/7225054/1001

And, as you the restaurant owner knows that the new normal means - US Restaurant Count Down by 5,204 From Last Year, Reports NPD - http://www.restaurantnews.com/us-restaurant-count-down-by-5204-from-last-year-reports-npd/ 

McDonald’s, once again, is heads and tails above the rest in effectively following the trend to fresh and fruit - Customers Go Bananas for McDonald’s New McCafé Real Fruit Smoothies - http://www.restaurantnewsrelease.com/customers-go-bananas-for-mcdonalds-new-mccafe-real-fruit-smoothies/852184/

Or, you can take this approach to new products - being outrageous - KFC’s Double Down fails to take off http://money.cnn.com/2010/07/14/news/companies/kfc_double_down/index.htm?source=yahoo_quote

Here’s another story on Wendy’s going upscale with their salads (and upscale in price) - http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2010/07/09/wendys-upgrading-salads-but-it-will-cost-you/

And, Ruby Tuesday’s is not the only casual restaurant hoping to advance in the new normal - Can O’Charley’s find a recipe for success? - http://www.dnj.com/article/DN/20100704/BUSINESS01/7040332/1088/BUSINESS/Can+O+Charley+s+find+a+recipe+for+success

More Soon.

21. June 2010

Folks Restaurant Woodstock - Bingo Monday Evenings

Having `connections’ with customers and people in general in this new normal is important for the restaurant category - and - Folks Restaurant in Woodstock Georgia - like many brands - `needs users’ - and anything that gets them coming to the restaurant is `good business’ (or a sign of desperation?) - so, why not try to cater to those `Bingo’ fanatics.

Another idea in Woodstock was the recent `reservations only’ Father/Daughter Date Night at Chick-Fil-A — `two more restaurants that are `using the works’ - in the new normal.

More links too:

Bojangles’ Gives Big Awards to Top Locations - and the winning location got 10 Grand — cool — http://www.qsrmagazine.com/articles/news/story.phtml?id=11117

Here’s an epic article about McDonald’s effect on the world - Happy meals: Why McDonald’s has been a positive force for change - http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/food-and-drink/features/happy-meals-why-mcdonalds-has-been-a-positive-force-for-change-1972152.html 

Want to see some recent (June 7th) on the street research with a 50 year old male who by 2 pm had already eaten at two fast food restaurants? — http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2H_pEFuSSo - If you want feedback on your brand contact me at 678-467-8650

15. June 2010

Restaurants Offering Small-Sized Items With Big Taste

No question about this trend to having the choice of smaller portioned food items at restaurants - including FF examples of: “Boston Market’s Market Sliders sandwiches, McDonald’s Snack Wraps, Burger King’s experiment with BK Burger Shots and Jack in the Box’s Mini Sirloin Burgers” - the point is also well made in the article about price point sensitivity in the new normal. http://www.palmbeachpost.com/money/malled-restaurants-offering-small-sized-items-with-big-728206.html - more too at the article.

I love this article - Subway to Change Cheese Distribution Strategy After Web Campaign? - talk about the customer being right - again. http://www.urlesque.com/2010/06/02/subway-to-change-cheese-distribution-strategy/

‘Social Media’ Are Top Buzz Words of NRA Show - don’t forget that `social contact/media’ when greeting your customer in the restaurant or at the drive-thru window. `Friendliness’ is one of the true drivers of increased sales and increased frequency of usage. http://www.qsrmagazine.com/articles/news/story.phtml?id=10970

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE64Q42Q20100527 - Hunger for burgers overcomes economic fears - an article whose focus is the Five Guys chain and its success despite the economic landscape.

http://www.restaurantnews.com/firehouse-subs-announces-23-new-restaurants-in-salt-lake-city/ - Firehouse Subs goes wild with development in Salt Lake City.

From a bit back - Quiznos launches Operating Partner Program - http://www.fastcasual.com/article.php?id=17949&na=1&s=2 - if I am reading this right - 5,000 and you can be in the restaurant business.

Don’t leave yet - explore my sidebar for more about restaurants.

12. June 2010

Wendy’s/Arby’s Investor Peltz Approached on Takeover (Update2)

America’s number 3 Fast Food Chain changing hands is big news indeed - http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-06-11/wendy-s-arby-s-investor-peltz-approached-on-takeover-update2-.html.

Taco Bell’s Two Dollar price point promotion is being well received in the new normal - “Taco Bell’s two dollar value meal is potentially game changing,” says Gary Stibel, Founder and CEO…..One dollar meals drastically limit the quantity a restaurant can offer and often leave consumers wanting.  This is strategic to Taco Bell because the bullseye of their target audience is the young male who doesn’t eat restaurant food, he ‘hoovers’ it. ….the original Chief Marketing Officer of Taco Bell, points out that “one of the bases for PepsiCo’s acquisition of Taco Bell was the ability to deliver good tasting, filling foods to young men at prices that were attractive to the guest and profitable to the owner.  It is one of the strengths of Mexican food in a crowded QSR marketplace.” - More here - http://www.restaurantnews.com/the-2-value-meal-could-be-a-game-changer-for-taco-bell/ 

Taco Bell recently used this Fun Idea to promote the 2 dollar price point - Taco Bell Asks Federal Reserve to Circulate More $2 Bills - http://www.restaurantnews.com/taco-bell-asks-federal-reserve-to-circulate-more-2-bills/

In other price point positioning news - Boston Market Debuts New Market Sliders For $2.99 - http://www.restaurantnews.com/boston-market-debuts-new-market-sliders-for-2-99/ - and combos for 4.99 - very aggressive.

And, score another one for McDonald’s - McDonald’s Ads to Showcase Undiscovered Artists and Bands - as this is an incredibly great idea to target the under 25 segment. - McDonald’s Ads to Showcase Undiscovered Artists and Bands - brilliant, again - http://www.restaurantnews.com/mcdonalds-ads-to-showcase-undiscovered-artists-and-bands/

I appreciate your visit today. Have a look around www.restauranttradearearesearch.com .

1. June 2010

It Might Take `The Works’ For Restaurants In The `New Normal’

Welcome to Restaurant Trade Area Research - the restaurant blog written by a 30+ year restaurant researcher who has personally  interviewed thousands and thousands of fast food customers. (How’s that for a mouthful?) - Today’s topic, what seems to be the new need - `shooting the works’ to maintain or grow market share in the `new normal’.

Examples include:

Expanded Dayparting Focus - Subway going into the breakfast market is the first to come to mind - Daypart pricing is also notable with `2-4 pm’ reduced beverage costs (Steak & Shake — Sonic) — Weekpart Combo Specials , such as Moe’s Thursday Two for One’s - Subway’s after 5 footlong pricing, etc.

Seasonal dayparting — summers `late night positioning’ has been going on for years (open til 2Am on weekends type of stuff), and, it’s been noted recently that in the casual niche, 12AM or later, was recently claimed in the Atlanta media market by Applebee’s. At Fast Foods, `summer late nights’ is almost a requirement for some (Wendy’s, Taco Bell) but is an opportunity for others too (such as a Krystal’s potential muchie crowd,  or even sandwich niche restaurant).

Outrageous Product - The incredible focus on low price points within advertising (which has muddied the field) has made new product introductions even more important to appeal to the `trier-rejecters’/aware non-users of any fast food brand. One method to get attention is the outrageous product - such as KFC’s Double Chicken Sandwich. And, most recently Burger King’s move into Bone-In Ribs - would be an `unexpected’ example of a `new product’ that should `create new trial’ - especially with good word of mouth - especially during summer. (Perfect `season’ new product introduction.)

Expand Competition Into Other Niches - Recent examples of this include McDonald’s continued focus on beverages such as premium coffee and other choices. Burger Kings new Ribs carves out part of the sit-down market (and the `upscale’ `trade down’) as does it’s Brunch positioning in some markets. The new `upscale’ Milkshakes by Chic-Fil-A, Hardee’s and Zaxby’s –> reach into the `Dairy Queen’/Baskin Robbins niche.

The `Health’ Market - Long heralded as the next sure thing (only problem was that in the 80’s-90’s market was still non-existent) , the `Healthy Fast Food’ market may finally be available - due in large to the already established `Bakery’ niche being taken ALREADY by the female demographic that has turned FROM fast food choices in the last 8 years or so, - to places like Panera Bread or Atlanta Bread Company or others. To me, it seems the natural ones to attack this would be sandwich chains like Quizno’s - Blimpie’s - Subway.

Upgraded Products/Serving Quality - Angus Beef now is an example of offering the `upgraded product at a premium price’ niche. Obviously it also attacks the `fast casual’ growing segment (the stepdown from casual tipping establishments). I’ve already mentioned BK’s Ribs. KFC roasted chicken could be seen by some as an upgrade in health perception.

Selling Branded Products — To me, it is a little self-defeating - BUT - White Castle has frozen product as do many other restaurant chains. To me, I’ve never found these pre-packaged foods to be as appetizing. How about you? Then again, Dunkin Donuts coffee seems logical - and I know that I’d buy a Big Mac Sauce if it was ever offered.

Fancy, Social, E-Mail Marketing Database Building - To me,  working with a stores known customer bases information - and the customer base itself - is VERY attractive too - and is needed to not lose an edge to the competition. That said, some areas seem to have the potential to eventually become overdone and self-defeating (the free food promotion costs - or extreme motivational discounts) and eventually will have it’s `day-come’ due to overuse.

For example, lets say you sign up with a store chain that will provide you a coupon code every time you go to their restaurant trade area — if you signed up with multiple chains you eventually would not wade thru the offerings and IF you did act on one - it would be the one `giving the most savings’. Coupon people are indeed driven by costs - which will drive down your profits and establish a two-tier payment pricing - and confuse the customer base about the real price/value of your products. GPS `coupons’ will not replace friendly smiles, eye contact and good operations. (Within this blog I’ve talked about specific marketing that can be done with your EXISTING customer base via ONE question frequency targeting - or - NO question `menu’- total purchase targeting.)

The `New Marketing’ for the `New Normal’ goes way beyond buying the 25-54 demo slightly focused on one sex - and expecting success. No, the new normal demands running on all cylinders in multiple directions - and catering to a stores unique customer base.

Thanks for reading today - if you check out my sidebar - you may find a category of interest to you. You can also read more about my MarketView research at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys .

27. May 2010

Arby’s Performance ‘Amongst The Worst In Modern Restaurant History:’ Analyst

A very serious article about the sales and marketing concerns with the Arby’s brand - including low brand loyalty even by users; and price-product positionings out of wack. http://www.nydailynews.com/money/2010/05/17/2010-05-17_arbys_performance_amongst_the_worst_in_modern_restaurant_history_analyst.html 

Here’s Burger King’s latest venture into the areas beyond Fast Food - http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2010/04/21/burger-king-testing-brunch-menu-in-select-markets - an area rapidly becoming important in the new normal.

More news - Why Captain D’s Was Thrown Overboard To Save Del Taco - http://blogs.bnet.com/business-news/?p=2077 - the bottom line on this was - healthier food, stronger brand, stronger finances, and fresher marketing - read for the details. (I did some research for one of these brands in the past and one of the brands in the above links.)

Can a two word slogan turn around sales - http://www.slashfood.com/2010/05/25/so-good-is-kfcs-groundbreaking-new-message/ - KFC hopes so. So Good?

In other news - NRA: Menu trends continue to highlight comfort food - http://www.pizzamarketplace.com/article.php?id=18373 - Bread Bowls, Oatmeal, Meatballs - you get the idea. More too.

The smartness of McDonald’s marketing and positionings are amazing - McDonald’s seeks to boost its beverage business - http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2010/05/18/mcdonalds-seeks-to-boost-its-beverage-business/

A great place to start if you are new with this blog is right here - http://restauranttradearearesearch.com/important-posts-in-2008/

17. May 2010

McDonald’s Stirs Oatmeal Into Morning Breakfast War

Filed under: one-on-one research, footlong sandwiches, oatmeal, Subway, Starbucks, McDonald's — Rick Phillips @ 16:10

Leave it to McDonald’s to uniquely position `nutrious’ Oatmeal - no FF competition, targets Starbucks success with it  - and appeals even to the sit-down `greasy spoon’ users. http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2010/05/13/mcdonalds-adds-oatmeal-to-the-menu-as-breakfast-wars-heat-up/ Another great move by McDonald’s.

Here’s some one and one research I did last year about restaurants - http://videosq.com/Tara-35-44-Top-Of-Mind-Restaurant-Research__EtVziTDuZOY.html - you can see the other five by going to YouTube and entering `top of mind restaurant’ in the search browser.

In other news - Subway To Everyone Else: Stop Selling ‘Footlong’ Sandwiches - http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2010/05/subway_to_everyone_you_cant_se.html

thanks for your visit today.

13. May 2010

Fast Food Can Be Healthy, McDonald’s Dietitian Says

Filed under: pizza-news.net, Waffle House, reduce salt, Healthy Fast Food, McDonald's — Rick Phillips @ 09:13

Excellent article that once again shows McDonald’s to be ahead of the competition- the dietitian even uses the new `key words’ like reduced salt and balanced diet - http://www.sun-sentinel.com/business/sfl-mcdonalds-nutrition-042210,0,3516216.story .

And, here’s an example of the above - It’s a new season for consumers as 16 companies, chains announce reductions in salt - http://www.startribune.com/lifestyle/health/92129669.html .

The 189,000.00 Nightmare - happened to Waffle House - http://www.newsobserver.com/2010/04/21/447056/a-189000-nightmare.html .

Do you have a pizza restaurant? If so, this is the news source for you - http://pizza-news.net/ .

Finally, thanks for the great response to last Saturday’s post http://restauranttradearearesearch.com/2010/05/08/same-sales-same-number-transactions-same-marketing/. If you are new to RTAR please look around. Thanks for your visit today.

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