Restaurant Trade Area Research

18. August 2010

Fast Food Trading Up To Catch Customers Trading Down

The evidence is starting to pile up about one response to the new normal is that Fast Food brands should enhance the  restaurant experience available - almost regardless of price point - because in large part it is aimed at those `trading down’ from the sit-down and tip waitress at lunch segment - and at the already existing non-tip fast casual (such as a Five Guys).

Examples include Wendy’s new redone Premium Salads priced at around 6.00 - and the large variety of `Angus’ Big Burgers available at most of the major chains now. (Can Buffalo Burgers be far away?) It would also include the upscaling of Milkshakes at Chick-Fil-A and Hardee’s - to the recent bone-in BBQ of Burger King - to the upscaling, at least perception wise, to many McDonald offerings such as the yogurt choices and coffee.

These new positionings, which often include a dash of health perceptions mixed with a sprinkle of indulgence, can be fairly and profitably priced within the fast food price points compared to fast casual and especially when compared to ANY RESTAURANT THAT DEPENDS ON TIPS FOR ITS EMPLOYEES. As today’s customer, in the new normal, is no longer disregarding any `additional charges’ as frivolous.

Indeed, when today’s restaurant using customer sees a Chili’s ad about the Burgers choices (with fries) starting at 5.99 - they know that - even getting water (the continuing trade-down) - that with tax their bill will be pushing 6.50 - which with tip (can you really tip under a dollar in a sit-down environment with table cloths) would be another buck (or two to not look cheap) - making the 5.99 advertised price point, more like 7.50+ and they are still drinking water. (The 1.79 and up prices on drinks at these places do them no help perceptually either). Indeed, throw in the drink, tax, (and now a two dollar tip) and you are talking 10.00 nearly - for the cheapest 5.99 advertised price point.

And, perceptions like that - add up to Fast Food brands having some opportunity for brand extensions with good profit price points. Doing this, while retaining the `value’ and yes - even the `dollarish’ price points too. (Dollarish (things under 1.49) would be a fun positioning.)

Lastly, since the new normal could be here for years and years, expect this trend in Fast Food brands to be a continuing process as brands find profitable brand extensions once thought of as not possible or too out of character for FF. Does this mean `value sized portions’ of something as exotic as `Prime Rib’ - before you say impossible - remember, this is the new normal. Crabcakes anyone?

Here’s some thoughts of a 50 year old multi time a day FF eater - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2H_pEFuSSo - and more about my services is right here www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys too.

16. August 2010

With Down Sales, KFC Franchisees Are Squawking

With second quarter sales off 7% - more and more franchisees are not confident with the new emphasis on sandwiches and grilled chicken - one decades long franchisee even said this: “Roger Eaton and his company don’t give a rat’s ass,” - http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/10_34/b4192019553596.htm?chan=magazine+channel_news+-+companies+%2B+industries much more detail at the link.

And KFC isn’t the only big name with continued lower secondquarter sales as Arby’s is once again off 7.4% and Wendy’s is off 1.7% http://www.restaurantnews.com/wendys-arbys-group-reports-2nd-quarter-2010-results/ - that said, Wendy’s/Arby’s plans expansion abroad with duel branded stores - http://www.ajc.com/business/wendys-arbys-to-open-588791.html

Meanwhile, while some chains go overseas for expansion - Chick-Fil-A plans to go into urban USA locations - http://www.ajc.com/business/chick-fil-a-plans-589960.html

And, speaking of GOING into new areas - New food-truck trend rolls into Akron - Vehicles promote fresh, unique fare, pose competition to eateries - http://www.ohio.com/news/top_stories/100353574.html making existing restaurants uneasy.

And, speaking of being uneasy in the restaurant business - Restaurants seek recipe for economic sustenance - So, with the fear of the unknown come new marketing strategies, including lots of social media and some creative pricing packages. Restaurants are also learning the value of truly connecting to the community they call home and making sure their new and regular customers are given top-notch food, delivered with a smile. - http://mddailyrecord.com/2010/08/05/restaurants-seek-recipe-for-economic-sustenance/ the bad news, of course, is that the `new normal’ is quickly becoming the new reality.

More down sales from O’Charley’s too - same-store sales at O’Charley’s company-operated restaurants declined by 7.9 percent - http://www.restaurantnews.com/ocharleys-inc-reports-results-for-the-second-quarter-of-2010/

More about my services at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys

9. August 2010

Stevi B’s Pizza Celebrates Second Annual Free Pizza Day on August 19

I live only about 2.5 miles from a Stevi B’s - it’s pretty good pizza - that said, when it opened our family used to use it 3-6 tmes a year - but, it’s been 3-4 years since our last use. That said, free food can indeed bring in the old users (now nonusers) - and, IF they give that pizza to the customers as they leave - they may indeed stimulate some `take out’ business in the future. (Especially if the pizza re-heats well.) http://www.restaurantnewsrelease.com/stevi-bs-pizza-celebrates-second-annual-free-pizza-day-on-august-19/852283/ Free Food - Part of the New Normal.

(Finally) Blimpie Introduces New Lighter Stuff Menu - The Lighter Stuff menu is comprised of six deliciously healthy items, all less than 400 calories and six grams of fat. - with a celebrity endorser and all - http://www.restaurantnews.com/blimpie-introduces-new-lighter-stuff-menu/ - Just how many years ago was Jared?

“It’s Bo Time” - http://www.charlotteobserver.com/2010/07/19/1572009/bojangles-fries-up-new-ad-slogan.html - Will Bojangles new slogan live up to the impressive KFC `So Good’? Are you motivated?

Arby’s goes interactive to introduce a new 1.00 sandwich - New Web App Morphs Your Photo Into “Arby’s Junior” Character - http://www.restaurantnewsrelease.com/become-an-arbys-junior/852235/  will cutesy work? That said, the description of the sandwich sounds like a taste treat for one dollar: the Jr. Deluxe features oven-roasted, thinly sliced roast beef, topped with crisp, fresh lettuce, ripe tomato and mayo on a toasted sesame seed bun. 

And, why not try the new media when - Starbucks Tops 10 Million Facebook Fans - http://www.mediapost.com/publications/?fa=Articles.showArticle&art_aid=132008

6. August 2010

Ruby Tuesday’s Recipe for Survival Is New Menu, Look

When the term `survival’ is used concerning any restaurant chain - it is not good news - especially when trying to change the positioning to more upscale in the new normal. But, that is exactly what RT is trying to do to create some positioning difference from competitors such as  Applebees, T.G.I. Friday’s and Chili’s. Read more of the strategy here - http://www.theledger.com/article/20100722/NEWS/7225054/1001

And, as you the restaurant owner knows that the new normal means - US Restaurant Count Down by 5,204 From Last Year, Reports NPD - http://www.restaurantnews.com/us-restaurant-count-down-by-5204-from-last-year-reports-npd/ 

McDonald’s, once again, is heads and tails above the rest in effectively following the trend to fresh and fruit - Customers Go Bananas for McDonald’s New McCafé Real Fruit Smoothies - http://www.restaurantnewsrelease.com/customers-go-bananas-for-mcdonalds-new-mccafe-real-fruit-smoothies/852184/

Or, you can take this approach to new products - being outrageous - KFC’s Double Down fails to take off http://money.cnn.com/2010/07/14/news/companies/kfc_double_down/index.htm?source=yahoo_quote

Here’s another story on Wendy’s going upscale with their salads (and upscale in price) - http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2010/07/09/wendys-upgrading-salads-but-it-will-cost-you/

And, Ruby Tuesday’s is not the only casual restaurant hoping to advance in the new normal - Can O’Charley’s find a recipe for success? - http://www.dnj.com/article/DN/20100704/BUSINESS01/7040332/1088/BUSINESS/Can+O+Charley+s+find+a+recipe+for+success

More Soon.

3. August 2010

Pizza Hut Slashes Menu Prices

Prices Slashed

http://www.scootaboutkneescooters.com/images/prices-slashed.gif

Well, that is a little of an exaggeration perhaps - but what they have done is get the new lower price point in front of the public AND have brought clarity in pricing to the pizza category - mediums now start at 8.00 with up to three toppings. —- Along a related front - amazingly, we travel thru yet another summer without one major FF chain matching McDonald’s 1.00 Iced Tea prices. Amazing.

Now, you know RTAR loves surveys and especially the results of surveys - like this one - Cracker Barrel Receives Top Ratings in National Independent Consumer Study - http://www.restaurantnews.com/cracker-barrel-receives-top-ratings-in-national-independent-consumer-study/ - not only that Cracker Barrel won 31 of 50 rated attributes.

And, in another study - US Restaurant Count Down by 5,204 From Last Year, Reports NPD - that is about 1% of all restaurants and the first decline since the study began in 1976 - The new normal settles in.

Here’s a new Carl’s Jr. & Hardee’s product sure to grab some headlines - The 12 Inch BURGER - http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/food/2010-07-16-footlong16_ST_N.htm 

More new products - WENDY’S Upscales Salads - http://www.restaurantnews.com/wendys-introduces-new-line-of-premium-salads/ - will upscale price diminish results?

More links tomorrow.

12. July 2010

`Tight Targeting’

Filed under: tight targeting, new normal, market sales, marketing dollars, MarketView — Rick Phillips @ 10:01

Often when owners do the MarketView at their fast food restaurants they find in the crosstabs interesting information of which they simply were not aware. For example, a store may find that ONLY `Drive-Thru’ customers before 5 PM had a low frequency of usage (compared to all after 5 customers at the drive-thru OR any segment of in-store users) - and specifically target JUST that `tight targeting’ to get the most bang for the buck.

OR, the data may show that one age group - say those over 55 - indexed lower on frequency of usage than all other segments - resulting in an easy `visual’ `tight targeting’ effort with those customers.

OR, the data may show a particular zipcode that simply isn’t performing for the store (on-site it requires asking) which would allow for a `tight targeting’ marketing effort. In the new normal - tight targeting may be all one can afford.

More about the MarketView here - www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys

29. June 2010

Denny’s AARP Pact Is Generating Results

As you know, - when this was announced I KNEW it was a winner - read more about the details here and why Denny’s has committed to a 3 year run with this relationship. http://www.mediapost.com/publications/?fa=Articles.showArticle&art_aid=130303 - great customer targeting here.

The Happy Meal regulations - http://www.daily49er.com/opinion/happy-meal-regulations-1.2264397

Double Dip After all? - The hard real data about our economy - http://modeledbehavior.com/2010/06/23/double-dip-after-all/

25. June 2010

Fast Casual - The I Don’t Want To Tip - Nearly A Restaurant Restaurant

Filed under: no tipping, fast casual, new normal, Sonic — Rick Phillips @ 11:45

Today’s link talks about everyone’s favorite niche in the new normal - the fast casual restaurant. And, in this link “Technomic’s 2010 Top 100 Fast-Casual Chain Restaurant Reportprovides rankings, analysis and profiles of the leading chains, and helps chain operators and foodservice suppliers understand emerging trends and players in today’s fastest growing segment.” - interesting reading with hard numbers to ignore. http://www.restaurantnews.com/fast-casual-chains-continue-to-grow-and-benefit-from-recession-finds-technomic/ 

Many FF chains are toying with the high-tech side of the marketplace - even to the point - like Sonic recently - of texting you each time you come into a trade area - When the Customer Is in the Neighborhood - http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704238104574601944230186368.html?mod=WSJ_hpp_MIDDLENexttoWhatsNewsTop - (I would hope that it has some upper limit as one can easily transverse multi trade areas in nothing more than a trip to the mall.) Is this Jetson’s stuff - or - pure annoyance.

Indeed, the previous link leads me to this GREAT article - http://www.revenuejournal.com/blog/great-marketing-and-selling-crisis-2010-and-how-escape-it

The Great Marketing and Selling

Crisis of 2010 - and how to escape it

 - Force #1: All those “traditional” marketing vehicles and methods have lost their power, and no one is really sure how and if the new vehicles and methods can replace them.

Force #2: No one wants to be “sold to.”

Force #3: Any entrepreneur or CEO with a conscience is in the midst of a spiritual crisis.

Force #4: Shaky economic climate - on a global scale.

Force #5: Personal reluctance to spend.

On top of all this, it’s personal. ———- Make sure to read this great link and please check around this site for much more.

22. June 2010

Hardee’s Introduces Hand-Breaded Chicken Tenders

Hardee’s continues its move to offering a more upscale `handmade’ product for its customers (one suggested by a franchisee who was having success with it in another restaurant he owned) - http://www.restaurantnews.com/hardees-introduces-hand-breaded-chicken-tenders/

In other research - Breakfast Accounts for Nearly 60% of U.S. Restaurant Industry Traffic Growth Over the Past Five Years - http://www.restaurantnews.com/breakfast-accounts-for-nearly-60-of-u-s-restaurant-industry-traffic-growth-over-the-past-five-years/ being a player in all dayparts is becoming needed in the new normal.

Since you are here - look around before you go - http://restauranttradearearesearch.com/important-posts-of-2009/

21. June 2010

Folks Restaurant Woodstock - Bingo Monday Evenings

Having `connections’ with customers and people in general in this new normal is important for the restaurant category - and - Folks Restaurant in Woodstock Georgia - like many brands - `needs users’ - and anything that gets them coming to the restaurant is `good business’ (or a sign of desperation?) - so, why not try to cater to those `Bingo’ fanatics.

Another idea in Woodstock was the recent `reservations only’ Father/Daughter Date Night at Chick-Fil-A — `two more restaurants that are `using the works’ - in the new normal.

More links too:

Bojangles’ Gives Big Awards to Top Locations - and the winning location got 10 Grand — cool — http://www.qsrmagazine.com/articles/news/story.phtml?id=11117

Here’s an epic article about McDonald’s effect on the world - Happy meals: Why McDonald’s has been a positive force for change - http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/food-and-drink/features/happy-meals-why-mcdonalds-has-been-a-positive-force-for-change-1972152.html 

Want to see some recent (June 7th) on the street research with a 50 year old male who by 2 pm had already eaten at two fast food restaurants? — http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2H_pEFuSSo - If you want feedback on your brand contact me at 678-467-8650

16. June 2010

Is In-N-Out Burger Coming East?

I remember when Coors Beer was a legend before national distribution and the loyalty levels and desire to `score’ some when available — For some, the In-N-Out move will draw the same response. - Texas seems the next move - http://www.dailyfinance.com/story/company-news/in-n-out-burger-dallas-texas/19491184/

O’Charlies continues the new normal advertising - price points - O’Charley’s Launches New Ultimate Choices Menu - grabbing three points with below 10.00 to identify with - http://www.restaurantnews.com/ocharleys-launches-new-ultimate-choices-menu/ 

Here’s some older news - California County Bans Toys With Fast-Food Meals - here comes the government again - http://www.aolnews.com/nation/article/santa-clara-county-bans-toys-with-fattening-meals/19456492

Thanks for your visit - make sure to look around for much more about restaurants and research about restaurants.

15. June 2010

Restaurants Offering Small-Sized Items With Big Taste

No question about this trend to having the choice of smaller portioned food items at restaurants - including FF examples of: “Boston Market’s Market Sliders sandwiches, McDonald’s Snack Wraps, Burger King’s experiment with BK Burger Shots and Jack in the Box’s Mini Sirloin Burgers” - the point is also well made in the article about price point sensitivity in the new normal. http://www.palmbeachpost.com/money/malled-restaurants-offering-small-sized-items-with-big-728206.html - more too at the article.

I love this article - Subway to Change Cheese Distribution Strategy After Web Campaign? - talk about the customer being right - again. http://www.urlesque.com/2010/06/02/subway-to-change-cheese-distribution-strategy/

‘Social Media’ Are Top Buzz Words of NRA Show - don’t forget that `social contact/media’ when greeting your customer in the restaurant or at the drive-thru window. `Friendliness’ is one of the true drivers of increased sales and increased frequency of usage. http://www.qsrmagazine.com/articles/news/story.phtml?id=10970

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE64Q42Q20100527 - Hunger for burgers overcomes economic fears - an article whose focus is the Five Guys chain and its success despite the economic landscape.

http://www.restaurantnews.com/firehouse-subs-announces-23-new-restaurants-in-salt-lake-city/ - Firehouse Subs goes wild with development in Salt Lake City.

From a bit back - Quiznos launches Operating Partner Program - http://www.fastcasual.com/article.php?id=17949&na=1&s=2 - if I am reading this right - 5,000 and you can be in the restaurant business.

Don’t leave yet - explore my sidebar for more about restaurants.

1. June 2010

It Might Take `The Works’ For Restaurants In The `New Normal’

Welcome to Restaurant Trade Area Research - the restaurant blog written by a 30+ year restaurant researcher who has personally  interviewed thousands and thousands of fast food customers. (How’s that for a mouthful?) - Today’s topic, what seems to be the new need - `shooting the works’ to maintain or grow market share in the `new normal’.

Examples include:

Expanded Dayparting Focus - Subway going into the breakfast market is the first to come to mind - Daypart pricing is also notable with `2-4 pm’ reduced beverage costs (Steak & Shake — Sonic) — Weekpart Combo Specials , such as Moe’s Thursday Two for One’s - Subway’s after 5 footlong pricing, etc.

Seasonal dayparting — summers `late night positioning’ has been going on for years (open til 2Am on weekends type of stuff), and, it’s been noted recently that in the casual niche, 12AM or later, was recently claimed in the Atlanta media market by Applebee’s. At Fast Foods, `summer late nights’ is almost a requirement for some (Wendy’s, Taco Bell) but is an opportunity for others too (such as a Krystal’s potential muchie crowd,  or even sandwich niche restaurant).

Outrageous Product - The incredible focus on low price points within advertising (which has muddied the field) has made new product introductions even more important to appeal to the `trier-rejecters’/aware non-users of any fast food brand. One method to get attention is the outrageous product - such as KFC’s Double Chicken Sandwich. And, most recently Burger King’s move into Bone-In Ribs - would be an `unexpected’ example of a `new product’ that should `create new trial’ - especially with good word of mouth - especially during summer. (Perfect `season’ new product introduction.)

Expand Competition Into Other Niches - Recent examples of this include McDonald’s continued focus on beverages such as premium coffee and other choices. Burger Kings new Ribs carves out part of the sit-down market (and the `upscale’ `trade down’) as does it’s Brunch positioning in some markets. The new `upscale’ Milkshakes by Chic-Fil-A, Hardee’s and Zaxby’s –> reach into the `Dairy Queen’/Baskin Robbins niche.

The `Health’ Market - Long heralded as the next sure thing (only problem was that in the 80’s-90’s market was still non-existent) , the `Healthy Fast Food’ market may finally be available - due in large to the already established `Bakery’ niche being taken ALREADY by the female demographic that has turned FROM fast food choices in the last 8 years or so, - to places like Panera Bread or Atlanta Bread Company or others. To me, it seems the natural ones to attack this would be sandwich chains like Quizno’s - Blimpie’s - Subway.

Upgraded Products/Serving Quality - Angus Beef now is an example of offering the `upgraded product at a premium price’ niche. Obviously it also attacks the `fast casual’ growing segment (the stepdown from casual tipping establishments). I’ve already mentioned BK’s Ribs. KFC roasted chicken could be seen by some as an upgrade in health perception.

Selling Branded Products — To me, it is a little self-defeating - BUT - White Castle has frozen product as do many other restaurant chains. To me, I’ve never found these pre-packaged foods to be as appetizing. How about you? Then again, Dunkin Donuts coffee seems logical - and I know that I’d buy a Big Mac Sauce if it was ever offered.

Fancy, Social, E-Mail Marketing Database Building - To me,  working with a stores known customer bases information - and the customer base itself - is VERY attractive too - and is needed to not lose an edge to the competition. That said, some areas seem to have the potential to eventually become overdone and self-defeating (the free food promotion costs - or extreme motivational discounts) and eventually will have it’s `day-come’ due to overuse.

For example, lets say you sign up with a store chain that will provide you a coupon code every time you go to their restaurant trade area — if you signed up with multiple chains you eventually would not wade thru the offerings and IF you did act on one - it would be the one `giving the most savings’. Coupon people are indeed driven by costs - which will drive down your profits and establish a two-tier payment pricing - and confuse the customer base about the real price/value of your products. GPS `coupons’ will not replace friendly smiles, eye contact and good operations. (Within this blog I’ve talked about specific marketing that can be done with your EXISTING customer base via ONE question frequency targeting - or - NO question `menu’- total purchase targeting.)

The `New Marketing’ for the `New Normal’ goes way beyond buying the 25-54 demo slightly focused on one sex - and expecting success. No, the new normal demands running on all cylinders in multiple directions - and catering to a stores unique customer base.

Thanks for reading today - if you check out my sidebar - you may find a category of interest to you. You can also read more about my MarketView research at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys .

21. April 2010

Price Point Stalking - The New Normal

Putting promotion and advertising dollars behind various price points is nothing new in the restaurant category - but - in 2010 - it would seem to be of huge importance based on the current crop of ad positionings positioning prices. For example - check out this list of price points promoted in the past year in the Atlanta ADI at least:

79 cents - Taco Bell (occasionally).

99cents - Wendy’s Value Menu - Capt. D’s sides

1.00 - McDonald’s Dollar Menu; Burger King, Arby’s, Checkers

1.50 (2/3.00) - Checkers, Dairy Queen (occasionally)

1.99 - Snack meals - Mrs. Winners, Church’s, KFC (occasionally), Dunkin Donuts, 

2.00 Denny’s

2.50 Subway Breakfast Combo

Meals For One

2.99 Combo’s - McDonald’s, Wendy’s, Krystal, Boston Market

3.99 Long John Silvers, KFC, (4.00)Firehouse Subs >4Pm (4.00) Steak & Shake, (4.00) Quizno’s, 3.99 Hardee’s, (4.00) Denny’s

5.00 - Subway Footlong, Boston Market 5.oo + sides, (5.01) Arby’s, (4.99) Waffle House, (4.99) CiCi’s Pizza, (5.00) Little Ceasar Pizza, (4.99) Denny’s, 5.00 - Capt. D’s lunch, (4.99) - Zaxby’s,

5.99 Domino’s Pizza, 6.00-Denny’s

8.00 Denny’s

6.99-9.99 - Friday’s, Ruby Tuesday’s, Ryan’s, Golden Corral, (10.00) Pizza Hut, Folks Restaurant, Red Lobster, Olive Garden, Applebees,

And now, with smaller portions becoming more accepted at a reduced price (often with more profit however) - the under 10.00 to eat AT a restaurant perception continues to grow.

9. April 2010

Restaurant chains roll out small portions at small prices

In what only makes sense in the New Normal - offering the same food in smaller portions and prices - can only be a win win for operators (as long as profit margin in maintained). Includes chains such as California Pizza Kitchen - http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/food/2010-03-30-smallplates30_ST_N.htm and Cheesecake Factory.

Working on a major post for the weekend - checkback - I’d love you to bookmark and make Restaurant Trade Area Research a frequent stop in your internet surfing.

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