Restaurant Trade Area Research

One of the few available ways to increase sales is to increase the size of the eating party - here (perhaps you have seen the ads featuring Bo Bice) Moe’s smartly does just that. Indeed, by targeting a `workday’ Moe’s is even encouraging the development of the `office workers luncheon `date” (no romance required). And, by establishing work pairs eating out together - it will surely `happen’ on non-2-1 days too. Excellent idea.

More links to - including:

Vowel Sounds Influence Consumers’ Price Perceptions - http://www.cnbc.com/id/34919366 

10 Worst Sandwiches in America - http://health.yahoo.com/experts/eatthis/43781/10-worst-sandwiches-in-america/ - A list you don’t want to be on - such as FF chains - Arby’s, Panera, Red Robin, Subway, Blimpie, Quizno’s.

Unemployment Takes a Bite Out of Breakfast - http://www.aolnews.com/money/article/unemployment-takes-a-bite-out-of-breakfast/19367237 - Down 4% — even 8% off breakfast sandwiches at 7-11.

http://www.slashfood.com/2010/02/23/burger-king-unveils-secret-weapon-for-new-steakhouse-xt-burger/ BK goes huge. 7 oz Burger - new broilers.

http://restaurantnews.com/short-orders-news-bites-from-across-the-web-022510/ Just showing off that last weeks post was carried by restaurantnews.com - cool.

Hungry for Returns? Try Wendy’s/Arby’s Group - http://seekingalpha.com/article/185953-hungry-for-returns-try-wendy-s-arby-s-group

Return soon for more.

It seems that many fast food restaurants have too narrow a target demographic and don’t spread out their age targeting on television commercials as they should - including a direct targeting of the customer aged 18-24  (Krystal being an exception.) - especially considering how hard it is to get the 18-24 age group to actually USE a FF coupon. Indeed, I’ve done research where less than 2% of the age group used coupons while upwards of 30% in other older age brackets was the case. So, the question is how to motivate usage within the young 18-24 year old cell.

Answer. VISUALLY target them with `frequency club’ bounceback card/coupon - make sure the dated card only involves a reasonable frequency level like I’ve described in my recent posts. (For example, 2 visits in 2 months - with a discount for each of those purchases.) So, if the young person KNOWS that the next two times they use your restaurant they get 20% off (or similar) the total bill - anytime in the next two months — that will be much more likely to influence a spontaneous purchase with the brand — versus a 1% chance of usage of a coupon in the paper or mailbox mailing.

Restaurant links for today:

http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2009/11/11/subway-wants-your-breakfast-business/?icid=main|htmlws-main-n|dl8|link5|http%3A%2F%2Fwww.walletpop.com%2Fblog%2F2009%2F11%2F11%2Fsubway-wants-your-breakfast-business%2F Subway moves into the breakfast daypart. Can Subway bakery or Atlanta Bread Company positioning be far away?

http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2009/10/29/chinese-chickens-which-fast-food-chain-may-serve-you-this-scary/?icid=main|htmlws-main-n|dl3|link4|http%3A%2F%2Fwww.walletpop.com%2Fblog%2F2009%2F10%2F29%2Fchinese-chickens-which-fast-food-chain-may-serve-you-this-scary%2F - Chinese chicken: Which fast food chain may serve you this scary import?

www.RestaurantNews.com BTW, you can see my ad at this website - which has lots of interesting content too.

First, let it be said that my usage of nearly ALL of the restaurants has already assumed the `new normal’ of the Great Recession. Regardless of what cheerleading the media may be doing about the economy - most folks are now cautious on discretionary spending - of which, restaurant visits - even to a degree Fast Food restaurant visits - has been impacted. 

 In alphabetical order:

Arby’s - I `responded’ to the ads for the `Roast Burger’ earlier in the year and was not impressed. I refused to respond to the Marry a Goat `humor’  ad campaign and somewhat like the recent 5.01 combo or pricing (the one cent being for Quality).  That said, generally, I perceive that Arby’s as expensive without having coupons from the coupon mail drop a few times a year. Additionally, they  `streamlined’ their `fries’ - dropping my favorite the Homestyle. How can they NOT promote the Jamoca Shake?

Atlanta Bread Company (ABC) - Remodeled nicely. Upgraded to real plates and silverware. Messy to clean up. Can be crowded and slow service. Female favorite. Good soups and combo prices. Mellow atmosphere.

Burger Inn - Local  legend - all fresh cooked. Great breakfast customer base. Friendly people; newspapers available often. Excellent onion rings. Beefy hamburgers. Male favorite.

Burger King - I like the current billboard promotion about the Double Cheeseburger for a buck, real value - but - haven’t gotten it.  I have ordered the Mini burgers more than once however and view that as an excellent addition. Amazingly, the Woodstock BK got rid of Real Sweet Tea years ago (my assumption is that is still the case) and thereby nearly ended my usage — I can’t stand the fake sweet tea out of a machine. Operations should be aware that changing ICONic drinks can have a big effect. — Finally, where is the KING?

Capt. D’s - Perhaps my favorite FF in Woodstock. Quality, Quick, and Quantity with good value pricing. Covers all reasonable price points including lunch specials and on-going `specialities’ that have all prices. Excellent choice of sides. Funny ads earlier in the year comparing to Red Lobster pricing. Friendly greeting and thanking when exiting. Good inside music.

Checkers - Still a viable concept (double drive thru) - chicken wings were a good addition earlier in year - somehow it fits. Catchy phrase “you gotta eat” recognizable for smaller chain levels of advertising. Covers all price points well with a good mix of products. The Woodstock store does Sunday Pricing - good idea - hasn’t ever motivated me for their `down sized’ versions. Could probably `play-up’ the FUN theme a little bit more.

Chick-Fil-A - Woodstock’s Chick-Fil-A is amazingly busy. Overwhelmingly busy whenever they do a promotion like 2-1 for a chicken sandwich or free food giveaway. Excellent quick service regardless of how long the lines are - especially at the drive-thru. (However, I’ve detected a time or two a usage of `workers in India’ taking my orders — I’m not kidding - and, in this time of underemployment in America - that is NOT right to save a few cents that way.) Real Milk Shakes were genius. Consistent quality. Friendly employees. Clean. ————— All that said, the Woodstock inside service in the sit-down area can be horrid and when is Chick-Fil-A gonna get some normal fries? Also, one takes a chance when getting the baked potato.

Dairy Queen -  The standard in Ice Cream desserts from the drive-thru. Haven’t used but really like the new pricing structure in ads 2/3 3/4 4/5.00 - interesting approach. Unfortunately, for me, the food hasn’t broke thru.

Dunkin Donuts - Right on the Strip - I’ve never used location. Certainly they can advertise donuts and donut prices more.  (IF I knew a quick Donut sweet was 99 cents for example - it would come to mind for `dessert’ or breakfast purchase more often. Never seen a place less concerned with establishing a price point understanding. Just how much does a dozen donuts cost?)

Firehouse Subs - Expensive but Excellent. Can be slow. Friendly employees. TV’s to watch. Good real sweet tea. Small, can be crowded.

Five Guys Hamburgers - Tangential to Woodstock in Sandy Plains area — good operation - waiting for a Woodstock Location (several good places available perhaps too).

IHOP - Expensive, right? What specials?

KFC - Closed but not forgotten. Also was one, like BK, to drop sweet tea for a time.

Krystal’s - Krystal `fix’ a must a few times a year. (Canton Road.) Ad’s featuring Crispy Onions on burger looks very compelling. Wi-Fi add - good idea.

McDonald’s - Woodstocks unit re-designs and updates the interiour often - which is nice. Clean. Service can range from excellent to very poor (weekends). Can often find an AJC or USA today in newspaper bin. Separate kids area - thumbs up. Fries can vary in quality. Best FF fish sandwich.

New China Buffet - Lunch value leader. Good quality food. Friendly employees. Priced by the pound to go. Widest variety of food.

O’Charlies - Stopped going shortly after changed menu restricting Prime Rib to Sundays only.

Panda Express - Have never used. Pass by back of lot 3 times a week on way to Walmart.

Po Folks - AKA Folks —> Expesive for what you get.

Ruby Tuesday’s — How could they get rid of German Potato Salad? (pet peeve). Good miniburgers and platter pricing. Easy to split orders. Great salad bar still.

Sonic - I really like their ad’s inside the car with the main guy and his friend and the main guy and his wife. Classic. Best onion rings in Woodstock at FF. To me, tasteless burgers. Fun to use. Daypart pricing on drinks in the afternoon. Fun music playing.

Steak And Shake -  Best Milkshake in Woodstock. Can be very expensive without coupons and very reasonable with coupons. Great variety of sides. Great music inside.

Subway - Good with pricing with coupons. Good quality. Can be SLOW service. GOOD real sweet tea. Fresh. Daily specials a good way to address pricing. Excellent variety of sandwiches.

Taco Bell - Good cheap price positioning. Good Chalupa’s. Good real sweet tea. Good service speed. Good quality overall.

Wendy’s - Huge variety in quality - excellent one time - poorish the next. What the heck happened to the fries - almost tasteless compared to yesteryear. I’m told good salads. Expensiveish compared to McD’s. Baked potato good price/quality.

Thanks for reading - feel free to comment.

Here’s some links also:

KFC Closes Its Doors to Fight Hunger - http://www.slashfood.com/2009/09/30/kfc-closes-its-doors-to-fight-hunger/?icid=main|htmlws-main|dl5|link6|http%3A%2F%2Fwww.slashfood.com%2F2009%2F09%2F30%2Fkfc-closes-its-doors-to-fight-hunger%2F Community involvemet matters - look at the results of the survey on this page too.

A Real Whopper? NASCAR’s Stewart to take live polygraph test in ad  - http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2009/09/30/a-real-whopper-nascars-stewart-to-take-live-polygraph-test-in//?icid=main|htmlws-main|dl1|link5|http%3A%2F%2Fwww.walletpop.com%2Fblog%2F2009%2F09%2F30%2Fa-real-whopper-nascars-stewart-to-take-live-polygraph-test-in%2F%2F BK, attention grabber again.

Eat, drink, and spend money: Restaurants ply diners with cheap booze - http://www.dailyfinance.com/2009/09/29/eat-drink-and-spend-money-restaurants-ply-diners-with-cheap-b/#continued?icid=main|htmlws-main|dl3|link3|http%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailyfinance.com%2F2009%2F09%2F29%2Feat-drink-and-spend-money-restaurants-ply-diners-with-cheap-b%2F%23continued

This is a copy and paste from my blog at http://streetlevelviews.blogspot.com — Check it out.

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Restaurant Top Of Mind Fast Food Awareness - Atlanta July 4th, 2009

Hello, and welcome back to Street Level Views. As you may be aware, on July 4th I spoke with a number of random people in Piedmont Park in Atlanta. Each of them were asked to name restaurants off the top of their heads and ultimately were also asked to name Fast Food Brands in a top of mind fashion. And, the seven folks in the demonstration taping were a mix of races, ages, and represented both sexes about equally.

Which makes the results even more interesting as they were anything but random. Indeed, 4 of 7 respondents named Chick-fil-A FIRST when mentioning Fast Food brands - with 5 out of seven naming them unaidedly. The other FIRST mentions were Moe’s, Subway and Burger King.

Only four FF restaurants had more than one mention unaidedly McDonald’s (3), Wendy’s (2), Subway (2), and Burger King (2). Other FF brands mentioned unaidedly included 5 Guys Burgers, Taco Bell, Jayson’s Deli, Moe’s, Quizno’s, Checkers, KFC, and Publix Subs.

Commenting on the top of mind mentions —— It is striking that Chick-fil-A `won’ in such a hands down manner (even with such a small sampling). Even more striking is the best `top of mind stories’ told by the respondents involved Chick-fil-A too. One story was told by a under 35 year old woman of she and her friends talking about how they would love to be on the `ad account’ - and - another woman, the heaviest fast food user of the seven - went into GREAT lengths to `show what she appreciates’ about Chick-fil-A. Obviously, the cows, humor and service seem to set Chick-fil-A apart from the everyday FF crowd.

The question is - will that awareness hold up in the first (beta) sample to be gathered citywide over the next month or so - bookmark and return for more information.

And, see the sample interview here http://streetlevelviews.blogspot.com/2009/07/street-level-views-about-restaurants.html and links to the other six interviews on YouTube.

Here’s some recent on the street interviewing I did about restaurants:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtVziTDuZOY

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bj8ZsJ5JeAg

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-v9QqZ9QeCc

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zTRO81RR7DA

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GJlZ-cOFbqg

Find out more here - http://streetlevelviews.blogspot.com

The above research `featured’ Arby’s, Chick-fil-A and Subway.

I’m sure you are aware of the ABC TV networks positioning for this week — STAY AT HOME. I’ll bet every fast food restaurant owner and especially full service restaurant owners hearts about stopped upon hearing the `marketing’ statement. They might have just as well said - eat at home for dinner this week (or any business that depends on part of its revenue from the evening daypart) - or - don’t spend `extra money’ this week.

We can ONLY hope that restaurants pulled advertising from ABC this week - did your chain?

Today’s Restaurant Links

McDonald’s Early History

http://www.vvdailypress.com/news/bernardino_8630___article.html/san_food.html  Interesting and short history of McDonald’s history.

Man Crawls Thur Drive Thru Window To Rob FF Restaurant

http://www.democratandchronicle.com/article/20080922/NEWS01/80922002/1002/NEWS

An early morning robbery - crawled out the same way to escape - this is while the store was open.

Breakfast Sliders Are Home Cooked Fast Food

http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/fea/taste/takehome/stories/DN-nf_greer_0924liv.ART.State.Edition1.328db2.html Must admit; it looks tasty.

The Ultimate Fast Food - Competitive Eating

http://www.suntimes.com/lifestyles/food/1181165,FOO-News-eat24.article  A focus on the man ranked number two.

Don’t Judge FF By It’s Logo

http://media.www.osusentinel.com/media/storage/paper1151/news/2008/09/24/Commentary/Subway.In.Fast.Food.Out-3447447.shtml Making the point that Subway has sandwiches as `bad’ as other chains.

The Mediterranean Diet Falls To Fast Food

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/24/world/europe/24diet.html?_r=1&ref=europe&oref=slogin As fast food moves in - eating habits change.

Now - make sure to continue reading below - much more of interest.

Just last month in this post http://restauranttradearearesearch.com/2008/08/02/perfect-demographics-perfect-traffic-counts-closed-restaurant/ I talked about the closing of a Backyard Burgers location at the intersection of Sandy Plains Rd and Hwy 92; and now, sadly - more fast food locations have bitten the dust nearby further `up’ (west) on Hwy 92 nearer to Woodstock.

Both went down about the same time last month - a 15 plus years open KFC; and a Zaxby’s which had been open several years. The KFC was in the midst of many fast food competitors - across the street from McDonald’s and Mrs Winners (Fried Chicken) with Capt’.D’s, Dairy Queen, Burger King and Chick Fil-A within eyesight; in addition to other restaurants within a mile such as Arby’s, Subway, Taco Bell, Wendy’s, Checkers and several sit downs such as Ruby Tuesday and O’Charley’s, Po Folks and several long time non brand restaurant choices. Yes, this was and is a developed area.

But, things change, - the Walmart across from KFC moved 2 miles up the road a few years ago replaced by a 4 day a week furniture wholesaler. The drugstore within the KFC retail pad went empty last month — the same retail pad saw a long standing BBQ location Slopes fold  about a year ago.

Our family used the KFC about once a month; usually for dinner - nearly always thru the drive-thru. Usually for the `dinners’ for 2.99-3.99 - buy three of those and you really felt like you got a sackful. Somehow, the drive-thru never backed up.

So, now, the nearest KFC is about 3.7 miles away, (this was about 2.1) and on our way back from Atlanta up Hwy 5. So, instead of using that one twice in last 5 years — I’ll probably bump into the once every six month category - and also eat at  Mrs Winners more often. Reverse attrition to the survivors.

I wonder if the KFC on Canton Rd will `market’ to the closed KFC’s trade area - I wonder if they have done any trade area surveys - to know that info?

The Zaxby’s closing was equally as surprising and it also was a place our family went to about once every 6 week or so. It was located about 3 miles from our home and we used it for evening eat-in meals (you only deal with Zaxby’s drive thru once) - it had good quality. It was NOT located in a highly concentrated fast food strip but did have local competitors. Indeed, a new chain Kayson’s, opened and shortly after the Zaxby’s was history.

The point of this posting is that the competitive environment is tough and getting tougher. Knowing your local trade area via real marketing research is not a luxury anymore. Indeed, if you do your whole market with a MarketView — you may know which `available’ fast food locations fit your market development plan without overlapping your own existing stores penetration. You will be able to do your own `attrition’ estimates based on trade areas.

Please visit www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys for more information about how I can help your marketing decisions.

Today’s Restaurant Links

Krystal’s Offers Up `Sonic-like’ Positioning

http://www.prweb.com/releases/2008/09/prweb1289284.htm  Is this `the idea’ that could make Krystal a player?

`Local Restaurant Dishes Out Manners’

http://www.kcsg.com/news/regional/28032164.html  `The Cell-Phone’ reminder. Quick read. Find out who is using `the reminder’.

`California Moves Closer To NYC-Like Menu Law’

http://www.desertdispatch.com/opinion/state_4250___article.html/mandate_menu.html 

`Fast Food Outlaws’

http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/fastfood-outlaws/2008/09/06/1220121599393.html  A less than flattering look at the USA from our friends down-under.

`Changing Lifestyles and Rising Incomes To Affect Restaurant Sales’

http://www.prweb.com/releases/restaurants_pizza/fast_foods_dining/prweb1302024.htm

The above story is about the GLOBAL MARKET and not the changing lifestyles here in America (less eating out, trading down). Nevertheless an in-depth viewpoint to read.

Last year, I personally interviewed several thousand fast food customers (in-store and drive-thru) in a variety of fast food brands for Trade Area Research purposes. (Do you need trade research before expanding your market?) This was normal for me as I have  personally interviewed thousands of fast food customers for dozens of years. And, as you might know, certain questions are nearly standard on questionnaires trying to understand customer behaviour - such as the fast food restaurant that the customer uses `most often’.

In the 1980’s and even into the late 1990’s - when adults answered that question for me — when the answer was McDonald’s - they would immediately offer a `reason’, in an apologetic tone, which invariably was `the kids’. That is not to say that I didn’t hear `they are everywhere’ and `they are cheap’ on occasion. Nevertheless, the interesting thing was that `other brands’ such as Wendy’s or Arby’s or Chick-Fil-A  or others (such as sandwich chains Subway) - most often users ALMOST NEVER offered up `embarrassing’ reasons for their usage of a particular brand most. Only McDonald’s. It was almost a case of doing `marketing’ too well.

Then, McDonald’s focused less on kids and more on product and product quality. I began to hear folks say that they liked a `particular new product’ at McDonald’s that they went for `most often’. Kids, as a reason, was definitely fading quickly (I informed my clients who at first seemed surprised in the early 2000’s — it was the kind of information that only came from literally being on the ground for multiple brands for decades) - the return of McDonald’s was approaching.

The moral - If the biggest can change a negative perception — other brands, most of which have neutral images, can also build a positive one - like McDonald’s has done.

Today’s Restaurant Links

“People are requesting kids premiums that are more socially responsible,”

http://www.ajc.com/business/content/business/stories/2008/08/16/restaurant_toys_educational.html Wendy’s and Chick-Fil-A jump on `Educational’ kids toys. Strong feedback. Three minute read.

Individual Responsibility And Its Enemies

http://www.mtexpress.com/index2.php?ID=2005122089  Bringing ethics into the fast food discussion with force. Shows how `choices’ and having a restaurant business are related. Three minute read.

Parking Mad At McDonald’s

http://icwestlothian.icnetwork.co.uk/courier/news/tm_headline=parking-mad-at-fast-food-chain&method=full&objectid=21526230&siteid=92284-name_page.html After the positive McDonald’s opinion above - here is an example of not respecting the customer. Probably.

Arby’s Expands Savings Potential With Cellfire Mobile Coupons

http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/prnewswire/200808130900PR_NEWS_USPR_____AQW047.htm Here’s a new coupon niche.

Are Restaurant Stocks A BUY?

http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/yourmoney/chi-ym-restaurants-0817-cpaug17,0,4787885.story Article says yes if you have a longer time horizon of 2-3 years; while detailing how over stocked the trade areas are with restaurants. Predicts store closings. Four minute read.

Many Many more - current links below. Bookmark and return please. Leave a comment if you wish.

Nearly all of the clients I have are owners of franchised restaurants - and = one thing they nearly always have in common is that they have limited `marketing dollars’ above and beyond the % they already pay to corporate to market the brand-name. That said, they do have SOME dollars and the decisions as to whether to sponsor a youth team, local charity golf tournament, do limited in-store marketing via bouncebacks, or buy billboards - are important image and marketing decisions.

When choosing to spend those limited dollars, it’s probably best to `do both’ - local image building and REAL marketing such as billboards. One of the `advantages’ that comes from using my services - doing what I call the MarketView — is that the owner knows the CUSTOMER BASE SIZE and type of user - of every individual unit in a market. And, based on that information - the owner knows which units are best and worst in converting their total customer base into `heavy’ users (some chains define this as the once a week customer, others, the once a month customer). Accordingly, the owner then has some direction from the research on how to spend those precious and limited local marketing dollars.

Much more on Customer Base Estimates in future posts - or - find out more at my squidoo website www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys.

TODAY’S RESTAURANT LINKS

Are Fast Food Building Restrictions Constitutional?

http://worldnetdaily.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=71377  Michael Ackley does a satire piece about how `gray’ the law becomes when thinking of `fast food restaurants’. A quick two minute read you don’t want to miss.

The Rise of the Breakfast Segment

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jGpPSjXCwpcs-JKUmPG3Gy5sht8QD92BG2380  Excellent article on how chains are increasingly looking at breakfast items as the way to more sales. Denny’s new containers and IHOP’s increase in take out over the past year is examined; as well as the reasons the FF chains have been successful in stealing the business from the sit-down breakfast eateries. Notes that some chains are thinking of offering breakfast items all day long. Finally gets into new offerings from FF restaurants including Carl’s Jr new product: “that features two eggs, bacon, sausage and cheese between grilled sourdough bread.”

Forget The Free Food and Drink Refills

http://www.startribune.com/business/26188614.html?location_refer=Most%20Emailed:Homepage:12 This story covers the many ways that restaurant owners are mitigating the increase in prices for foods and the increasing reluctance of patrons to eat out often. Here’s a quote from the 3 minute article:

The real problem, they argue, is that many large chains overbuilt at a time when Americans were starting to pull back on restaurant spending….Now, unable to raise prices to match rising wholesale food costs, so-called “menu makeovers” have become increasingly common

America’s WORST Restaurants For Kids Revealed

http://www.emediaworld.com/press_release/release_detail.php?id=120323  WOW - amazing article that GRADES each chain for offerings and other attributes related to healthy eating.  Getting A’s were Chick-Fil-A, Subway and Wendy’s - Getting F’s were Applebees, IHOP, Olive Garden, Outback, Red Lobster and T.G. I. Friday’s. A 3 minute, must read article.