Restaurant Trade Area Research

The evidence is starting to pile up about one response to the new normal is that Fast Food brands should enhance the  restaurant experience available - almost regardless of price point - because in large part it is aimed at those `trading down’ from the sit-down and tip waitress at lunch segment - and at the already existing non-tip fast casual (such as a Five Guys).

Examples include Wendy’s new redone Premium Salads priced at around 6.00 - and the large variety of `Angus’ Big Burgers available at most of the major chains now. (Can Buffalo Burgers be far away?) It would also include the upscaling of Milkshakes at Chick-Fil-A and Hardee’s - to the recent bone-in BBQ of Burger King - to the upscaling, at least perception wise, to many McDonald offerings such as the yogurt choices and coffee.

These new positionings, which often include a dash of health perceptions mixed with a sprinkle of indulgence, can be fairly and profitably priced within the fast food price points compared to fast casual and especially when compared to ANY RESTAURANT THAT DEPENDS ON TIPS FOR ITS EMPLOYEES. As today’s customer, in the new normal, is no longer disregarding any `additional charges’ as frivolous.

Indeed, when today’s restaurant using customer sees a Chili’s ad about the Burgers choices (with fries) starting at 5.99 - they know that - even getting water (the continuing trade-down) - that with tax their bill will be pushing 6.50 - which with tip (can you really tip under a dollar in a sit-down environment with table cloths) would be another buck (or two to not look cheap) - making the 5.99 advertised price point, more like 7.50+ and they are still drinking water. (The 1.79 and up prices on drinks at these places do them no help perceptually either). Indeed, throw in the drink, tax, (and now a two dollar tip) and you are talking 10.00 nearly - for the cheapest 5.99 advertised price point.

And, perceptions like that - add up to Fast Food brands having some opportunity for brand extensions with good profit price points. Doing this, while retaining the `value’ and yes - even the `dollarish’ price points too. (Dollarish (things under 1.49) would be a fun positioning.)

Lastly, since the new normal could be here for years and years, expect this trend in Fast Food brands to be a continuing process as brands find profitable brand extensions once thought of as not possible or too out of character for FF. Does this mean `value sized portions’ of something as exotic as `Prime Rib’ - before you say impossible - remember, this is the new normal. Crabcakes anyone?

Here’s some thoughts of a 50 year old multi time a day FF eater - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2H_pEFuSSo - and more about my services is right here www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys too.

Nothing like being a bit late to the party - or - making the move while a 5.01 Combo advertising campaign is going onward - but Arby’s has finally moved to match the direct FF competition. Seems the shift away from advertising specific products and tastes continues.

Also seen lately is Capt. D’s once again positioning their food and prices compared to Red Lobster - this time showing a party of two that they could have fed a party of four AND gotten 15.00 back. The tradedown customer is a legit positioning for sure for `dinner’ FF restaurants.

Finally, some other restaurant links:

Hundreds line up to apply for a job at In-N-Out Burger - http://www.ksl.com/?nid=148&sid=8366210

Study: Consumers Prefer E-mail Interaction to Social Media - http://blog.sellsiusrealestate.com/marketing-tips/study-consumers-prefer-e-mail-interaction-to-social-media/2009/10/16/

Hello, welcome back to the Restaurant Trade Area Research (RTAR) blog - thanks for stopping for a read. And, as you can see by the title of this post — once again in our depressed economy - where the discretionary dollar is scarce - where one restaurant unit after another closes - price points remain criteria number one for most restaurant chains.

Locally in northern Georgia - Mcdonald’s and Steak and Shake have met the Sonic reduced drink prices in the afternoon - Checkers has finally positioned a dollar menu — and as mentioned before Quizno’s `reduced prices’. And, two more restaurants have bitten the dust in the Woodstock Ga. market - Sonny’s BBQ (unbelievably) and the Woodstock Restaurant (daily buffet) - bringing nearly half a dozen closed up restaurants to Woodstock HWY 92 in the last few years.

But, it doesn’t end there - as the casual sit-downs are firing back on the price front with TGIF’s offering a buy one get one — with that being matched by other competitors like O’Charlies. And:

1-Wendy’s —- 3conmics (99cent choices) 2. Free Pancakes at IHOP tomorrow 3. Denny’s recent free grand slam breakfast 4. Steak and Shake’s recent `free combo’s for a year’ giveaway at local Atlanta locations 5. Fazoli’s - BOGO (buy one - get one) 6. Dunkin Donuts 1.99 breakfast combo 7. Starbucks - Breakfast value meal 3.95 — 8. McDonald’s Specials (like 3.33 for a Big Mac Combo) 9. Ruby Tuesday’s combo’s at 5.99 — Likewise Hooters 5.99

Makes one wonder when some chain will be bold enough in the south to make sweet tea a different price 24 hours a day - like 59 cents with any other purchase.

Finally, seems the burger front may be heating up - first Burger King’s mini’s will put pressure on Krystal’s and Roast Burgers at Arby’s - should compel trial. 

Hello, thanks for returning to my Restaurant Trade Area Research (RTAR) website - I’m back and ready to comment on the utterly new marketing situation all businesses are facing during this economic downturn. This blog decided to `wait’ during the last 10 weeks - rather than comment `daily’ on the possibility of financial meltdown and market disruptions. Knowing that you, a franchisee - knew the real business situation better than the commentators on Tv or in-print.

But, seeing now that 10 weeks after the end of the first cash crisis, that we seem to be facing, again, the solvency of the very banking system — it at least seems prudent to update the on-going strategies being employed with marketing and ad dollars - by various fast food, casual, and sit-down restaurants in 2009 – and that strategy - not surprisingly — has one focus — PRICE. (Ad language for `cost’ — the perception of the consumer.)

As you may know, when we left off in Nov. it was about price too - various price points - and now - we have the same only ratcheted up a degree. I can only comment about the local Atlanta media marketing and local store market close to Woodstock, Ga. That said, I’m pretty sure that each is generally reflective of the nation as a whole.

Perhaps most noteworthy and of immediate concern to the competitive marketplace is Quiznos advertising campaign about `reducing prices’ on food. Period. Not, come in for a reduced price combo or similar deal or bounceback coupon value — no - the actual phrase positioning `reducing prices’. Their local couponing has a 2.00 off any regular sub and buy any sub and get a chips and regular drink FREE. Combine the everyday reduced prices with an additional 2.00 coupon — and the price for loyalty and new trial customers - has just been increased.

And, as you know, - for years - Sonic - has offered reduced drink prices during the afternoon. And, as you know, since Chick-Fil-A  (and Hardee’s) started selling quality milkshakes - those that previously sold shakes (especially Dairy Queen and Steak and Shake) - have probably been under some pressure on a signature item. The response - an aggressive coupon campaign by Steak and Shake and not only that, locally, in Woodstock, Ga at least — reduced price shakes from 2-4 in the afternoon. A very good aggressive response and making true dayparting of pricing a strategy that deserves a second look. (Such as reduced coffee pricing after 4 PM.) Not only that, recently, Steak and Shake had a special of those small burgers that are now favorites of Casual Restaurants too - attack on all fronts.

Fortunately, the above examples are the only ones talking about reducing prices (although - O’Charlies has pushed the casual market with the 7.99 price point advertising - instead of the usual 9.99) and, ultimately,  your customer ticket total. But, all the others are doing the same in their own manner. Here’s just a re-cap:

McDonalds - To soften the price INCREASE for the double cheeseburger from the old price of 99cents to 1.19 - the `old’ price of the double cheeseburger Combo for 2.99 is retained. (Only those cheapies will face that 20 cent increase.)

Wendy’s - Pure price positioning - 3conomics — with the focus on 99 cent choices of only Wendy’s quality and variety. (McDonald’s has countered with ads supporting their  3 - 2.99 combos too.)

Arby’s - From 1.99 Chicken Sandwich choices to 3.99 specific combo choices — low price positionings for Arby’s.

Taco Bell — Ads geared to products BELOW 99 cents each.

Checkers - New `99cent’ offerings.

IHOP - All you can eat pancakes.

Zaxby’s - 5.25 (or about) Combo’s.

About the only ones holding to a non price strategy at the moment are the potentially `low  priced’ Krystal (hard to reduce the price on a burger of that size) and `high quality’ brands - such as Chick-Fil-A. And, Burger King - continues to do what the King does best - be edgy.

The RTAR will get back to regular postings, with weekly links, with more opinions, and more updating  of the sidebar (and more) for this webpage - hope you like the changes to come in 2009. I want to suggest looking at the full 2008 postings of merit by  hitting the link in my sidebar review of 2008.

Continue down the page for much more. See you next week.

Often when I do fast food research we ask customers to give a rating about price or cost of the food. What I’ve found about ratings is that it all depends on what one wants to pay - 4.00 is too high for some and wonderful for others - as is 6.00 or even more (on occasion).

That said, currently, three main price points are the main focus of advertising – 1.00 or less — 2.99 `meals’ —– 5.00 price points. My suggestion to clients of FF stores has always been to `offer’ the various price points to not shut out part of their FF market (for at least part of the year if not always) - specifically those more money conscious  customers in these tough economic times and shrinking trade areas.

Makes one wonder if  `recession combos’  might be a good marketing idea - small fry, smaller main sandwich, small `value’ drink - small price.

BTW - Last months stats were the best yet for this blog - thanks for reading. I hope you continue down this page as there is lots of good info and links. Finally, have you visited my Squidoo site yet at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys ?

Today’s Restaurant Links

`A&W’ Begins Revival In Wisconsin’

http://www.postcrescent.com/article/20081107/APC0701/811070568/1436/APC03

`Fastest Fast Food’

http://www.nbcaugusta.com/news/local/33604619.html Cool test done by TV station at Arby’s Wendy’s, BK, and McDonald’s — drive thru, order number one combo and set the stopwatch. Cool quick read - who do you think won?

`Fast Food Order Accuracy Rising’

http://www.freep.com/article/20081103/BUSINESS07/81102051 Fewer language problems and better qualified workers in economic downturn.

`Fast Food Warpath’

http://www.thisisscunthorpe.co.uk/showbiz/Jamie-Oliver-fast-food-warpath/article-456067-detail/article.html The continuing rise in fast food limitation laws.

Recently, I conducted the MarketView in an eastern seaboard market at all the units of a particular ADI and all owned by one owner. The MarketView is my name for a type of research design that digs into the fundamentals of any market. All kinds of interesting and useful information comes from doing real marketing research at your stores.

An example of this is shown below:

Store One                                                 Store Two

820,000               2006 Sales                             790,000

13%        Uses This FF Brand Most               24%

20%       Uses This FF At Least 1 Week       42%

161K       Annual Sales To 1+ Week User    331K

20K        Total Repeat Customer Base*        13K    *customer base formula

Smart marketing can address each of these stores specific marketing needs. Only by having real customer based information allows for smart spending of those precious marketing dollars. Make sure to visit my Squidoo page that explains more about the MarketView at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys.

Today’s Restaurant Links

`Former Bojangles Exec’s Now Qdoba Men’

http://www.chainleader.com/article/CA6607112.html?industryid=47555

`Fast Food Shops To Be Banned Near Schools In UK’

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1079655/Fast-food-shops-banned-near-schools.html 

`IS Fast Food Poised For A Fast Fall?’

http://www.forbes.com/markets/2008/10/22/mcdonalds-earnings-closer-markets-equity-cx_mp_1022markets44.html

Thanks for stopping by today — much more is below too. Bookmark this site and return for more updates. If you have some comments we’d love to hear them. 

This weekend I was watching some sports on TV when the `new’ Burger King ad with the King came on the screen. Anything with the KING gets my attention. This one  began with a `consumer’ holding a BK sandwich, who evidently `finds’ money in his pocket (that shouldn’t be there) and he is complaining about this to a policeman. The policeman says `reverse pickpocket’ and asks for a description - which, while being given by the `consumer’ results in the classic `THERE HE IS’ - cops and `robbers’ chase.

Off to the races goes The King crossing over a busy street while evading the law. Only to be SMASHED by a yellow cab. (With an impact that could easily kill a real person and you the observer literally feel it.) Yes, the first viewing had my full attention and brought amusement in addition to the message of BK itself — you can save money by eating with us. Expect to see more of the reverse pickpocket.

The BK ad ran within minutes of another FF comparison ad - this one for Capt D’s (seafood). In this one, in a parking lot aside of a Red Lobster, — customers of the RL are approached and asked how much money their meal cost. I saw two different ads on this and one said 80 dollars and the other 100 dollars - at which moment the Capt D’s renegade interviewer brings the RL party over to a makeshift area with a long folding table where Capt D’s employees crank out one meal after another and tell the RL group they could have had `all this’ and spent 40.00 less. The mantra, again; you can save money eating with us.

Which brings me to the two `fake restaurant’ ads currently in the Atlanta market being run by FF brands. The first is the *obnoxious Pizza Hut ads where it is `their pasta’ which is being served in the restaurant that evening. So, after `candid’ praise for the pasta - the `upscale’ diners `laugh’ about how they were fooled by the quality. Indeed, why would you be a fool and go to a sit down restaurant, pay thru the roof, — when you can get `restaurant quality’ delivered to your door. The mantra, you can save money here, by eating at home.

(* what is actually obnoxious is the version of the ad where the PH girl rips her `apron’ off to reveal her PH identification - she does it in a manner that somehow shouts — ~you idiots-jokes on YOU~).

OR, you can also find the other fake restaurant ad for Hardees and their Big Burger products. The idea; don’t pay 8.00 for a 4.00 burger. The mantra; you can save money by eating with us.

Finally, in Atlanta, Arby’s stores seem onto the price position with the 99 cent ArbyQ plastered (tastefully) over the store outside banners — while the Checkers down the road makes sure its customerbase knows it has 69 cent Sundays and Wednesdays.

Because of the economic uncertainty, the market for the upper middle and lower upper classes for FF restaurants is increasing. Promoting the `savings’ with quality  via trading down is one approach - expect to see this even more.

Today’s Restaurant Links

How KFC Captured The China Market

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/opinion/2008-09/16/content_7030941.htm  Very interesting history of the marketing.

Blackouts in Power are Packing Restaurants That Are Open

http://www.wcpo.com/content/specials/2008/blackout_2008/story.aspx?content_id=98bd59f7-59dc-46ac-9e38-b3fcfe7b1b01   Being ready in an emergency with power and personnel.

Banning Drive-Thru’s In Madison

http://www.dailycardinal.com/article/20431  The desire by some to control others is unlimited; this is a building issue in FF.

The Proposal For a Fast Food TAX

http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fullcomment/archive/2008/09/05/187813.aspx

Who knows what is coming.

The 174 Dollar FF Meal

http://www2.highlandstoday.com/content/2008/aug/31/pulled-over/

Thanks for visiting today — much more below — if you want to know more about my services visit the blogroll on this page.