Restaurant Trade Area Research

1. June 2010

It Might Take `The Works’ For Restaurants In The `New Normal’

Welcome to Restaurant Trade Area Research - the restaurant blog written by a 30+ year restaurant researcher who has personally  interviewed thousands and thousands of fast food customers. (How’s that for a mouthful?) - Today’s topic, what seems to be the new need - `shooting the works’ to maintain or grow market share in the `new normal’.

Examples include:

Expanded Dayparting Focus - Subway going into the breakfast market is the first to come to mind - Daypart pricing is also notable with `2-4 pm’ reduced beverage costs (Steak & Shake — Sonic) — Weekpart Combo Specials , such as Moe’s Thursday Two for One’s - Subway’s after 5 footlong pricing, etc.

Seasonal dayparting — summers `late night positioning’ has been going on for years (open til 2Am on weekends type of stuff), and, it’s been noted recently that in the casual niche, 12AM or later, was recently claimed in the Atlanta media market by Applebee’s. At Fast Foods, `summer late nights’ is almost a requirement for some (Wendy’s, Taco Bell) but is an opportunity for others too (such as a Krystal’s potential muchie crowd,  or even sandwich niche restaurant).

Outrageous Product - The incredible focus on low price points within advertising (which has muddied the field) has made new product introductions even more important to appeal to the `trier-rejecters’/aware non-users of any fast food brand. One method to get attention is the outrageous product - such as KFC’s Double Chicken Sandwich. And, most recently Burger King’s move into Bone-In Ribs - would be an `unexpected’ example of a `new product’ that should `create new trial’ - especially with good word of mouth - especially during summer. (Perfect `season’ new product introduction.)

Expand Competition Into Other Niches - Recent examples of this include McDonald’s continued focus on beverages such as premium coffee and other choices. Burger Kings new Ribs carves out part of the sit-down market (and the `upscale’ `trade down’) as does it’s Brunch positioning in some markets. The new `upscale’ Milkshakes by Chic-Fil-A, Hardee’s and Zaxby’s –> reach into the `Dairy Queen’/Baskin Robbins niche.

The `Health’ Market - Long heralded as the next sure thing (only problem was that in the 80’s-90’s market was still non-existent) , the `Healthy Fast Food’ market may finally be available - due in large to the already established `Bakery’ niche being taken ALREADY by the female demographic that has turned FROM fast food choices in the last 8 years or so, - to places like Panera Bread or Atlanta Bread Company or others. To me, it seems the natural ones to attack this would be sandwich chains like Quizno’s - Blimpie’s - Subway.

Upgraded Products/Serving Quality - Angus Beef now is an example of offering the `upgraded product at a premium price’ niche. Obviously it also attacks the `fast casual’ growing segment (the stepdown from casual tipping establishments). I’ve already mentioned BK’s Ribs. KFC roasted chicken could be seen by some as an upgrade in health perception.

Selling Branded Products — To me, it is a little self-defeating - BUT - White Castle has frozen product as do many other restaurant chains. To me, I’ve never found these pre-packaged foods to be as appetizing. How about you? Then again, Dunkin Donuts coffee seems logical - and I know that I’d buy a Big Mac Sauce if it was ever offered.

Fancy, Social, E-Mail Marketing Database Building - To me,  working with a stores known customer bases information - and the customer base itself - is VERY attractive too - and is needed to not lose an edge to the competition. That said, some areas seem to have the potential to eventually become overdone and self-defeating (the free food promotion costs - or extreme motivational discounts) and eventually will have it’s `day-come’ due to overuse.

For example, lets say you sign up with a store chain that will provide you a coupon code every time you go to their restaurant trade area — if you signed up with multiple chains you eventually would not wade thru the offerings and IF you did act on one - it would be the one `giving the most savings’. Coupon people are indeed driven by costs - which will drive down your profits and establish a two-tier payment pricing - and confuse the customer base about the real price/value of your products. GPS `coupons’ will not replace friendly smiles, eye contact and good operations. (Within this blog I’ve talked about specific marketing that can be done with your EXISTING customer base via ONE question frequency targeting - or - NO question `menu’- total purchase targeting.)

The `New Marketing’ for the `New Normal’ goes way beyond buying the 25-54 demo slightly focused on one sex - and expecting success. No, the new normal demands running on all cylinders in multiple directions - and catering to a stores unique customer base.

Thanks for reading today - if you check out my sidebar - you may find a category of interest to you. You can also read more about my MarketView research at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys .

21. April 2010

Price Point Stalking - The New Normal

Putting promotion and advertising dollars behind various price points is nothing new in the restaurant category - but - in 2010 - it would seem to be of huge importance based on the current crop of ad positionings positioning prices. For example - check out this list of price points promoted in the past year in the Atlanta ADI at least:

79 cents - Taco Bell (occasionally).

99cents - Wendy’s Value Menu - Capt. D’s sides

1.00 - McDonald’s Dollar Menu; Burger King, Arby’s, Checkers

1.50 (2/3.00) - Checkers, Dairy Queen (occasionally)

1.99 - Snack meals - Mrs. Winners, Church’s, KFC (occasionally), Dunkin Donuts, 

2.00 Denny’s

2.50 Subway Breakfast Combo

Meals For One

2.99 Combo’s - McDonald’s, Wendy’s, Krystal, Boston Market

3.99 Long John Silvers, KFC, (4.00)Firehouse Subs >4Pm (4.00) Steak & Shake, (4.00) Quizno’s, 3.99 Hardee’s, (4.00) Denny’s

5.00 - Subway Footlong, Boston Market 5.oo + sides, (5.01) Arby’s, (4.99) Waffle House, (4.99) CiCi’s Pizza, (5.00) Little Ceasar Pizza, (4.99) Denny’s, 5.00 - Capt. D’s lunch, (4.99) - Zaxby’s,

5.99 Domino’s Pizza, 6.00-Denny’s

8.00 Denny’s

6.99-9.99 - Friday’s, Ruby Tuesday’s, Ryan’s, Golden Corral, (10.00) Pizza Hut, Folks Restaurant, Red Lobster, Olive Garden, Applebees,

And now, with smaller portions becoming more accepted at a reduced price (often with more profit however) - the under 10.00 to eat AT a restaurant perception continues to grow.

1. March 2010

Moe’s Positions 2-1 Thursdays - Party Size Targeting Via Weekpart Pricing

One of the few available ways to increase sales is to increase the size of the eating party - here (perhaps you have seen the ads featuring Bo Bice) Moe’s smartly does just that. Indeed, by targeting a `workday’ Moe’s is even encouraging the development of the `office workers luncheon `date” (no romance required). And, by establishing work pairs eating out together - it will surely `happen’ on non-2-1 days too. Excellent idea.

More links to - including:

Vowel Sounds Influence Consumers’ Price Perceptions - http://www.cnbc.com/id/34919366 

10 Worst Sandwiches in America - http://health.yahoo.com/experts/eatthis/43781/10-worst-sandwiches-in-america/ - A list you don’t want to be on - such as FF chains - Arby’s, Panera, Red Robin, Subway, Blimpie, Quizno’s.

Unemployment Takes a Bite Out of Breakfast - http://www.aolnews.com/money/article/unemployment-takes-a-bite-out-of-breakfast/19367237 - Down 4% — even 8% off breakfast sandwiches at 7-11.

http://www.slashfood.com/2010/02/23/burger-king-unveils-secret-weapon-for-new-steakhouse-xt-burger/ BK goes huge. 7 oz Burger - new broilers.

http://restaurantnews.com/short-orders-news-bites-from-across-the-web-022510/ Just showing off that last weeks post was carried by restaurantnews.com - cool.

Hungry for Returns? Try Wendy’s/Arby’s Group - http://seekingalpha.com/article/185953-hungry-for-returns-try-wendy-s-arby-s-group

Return soon for more.

13. January 2010

Weekpart 2 For 1 Pricing By Moe’s

Filed under: American Idol Ad, great recession, new normal, Moe's, weekpart pricing — Rick Phillips @ 17:25

The trend for dayparting and weekparting continues - this time it’s Moe’s with an American Idol ad last night saying `Two For One on Thursdays with purchase of two drinks’ - expect to see even more in 2010 as more and more fast food retailers realize that this is the new normal of the Great Recession.

26. May 2009

New Price For Customers - Free Food

Filed under: weekpart pricing, free food — Rick Phillips @ 15:32

Forget having a good brand image. Forget about having a good product at a fair value. Forget having excellent store operations or effective advertising. No, the apparent way to customers is giving the food away for free (of which the promotion itself usually results in long service delays and perceptions of poor operations) sometimes without even the need to purchase a drink or side.

Is this the best strategy the chains can come up with? Even in these down times - scrapping along with consumers adjusting their frequency of fast food and overall restaurant usage? And, if one chain every 10 days or so is offering - free - how about a price offer that doesn’t give away the house and all profits?

How about a different tack - say - 79 cent ice cold soft drinks all summer long. Such a tactic would make the reduction `not permanent’; yet would offer real value - even allowing the customer to pay full price for a sandwich without feeling ripped off. Or, do the 79 cent drinks only on weekends to target the more `local’ home customers (and making your business base continue to give some profits during the week).

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